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SFI --K ---:-- UTC

City aurora forecast

Aurora Forecast for Riga, Latvia

No visible aurora signal for Riga right now

A practical Baltic forecast page for geomagnetic storms that push the oval south.

Live answer
0%
Visibility likelihood

Current Kp: --. Riga typically needs about Kp 4 before reliable visual reports start showing up.

Current conditions
Kp--
Bz--
Solar wind-- km/s
Path impactnormal
Viewing context

Riga sits at 56.9° latitude with an estimated Bortle 6 urban-light baseline. Drive away from core lighting before judging a marginal Kp event.

Current cloud cover: 99%. It is currently daytime locally, so visual aurora odds remain theoretical until darkness returns.

HF impact

Quiet conditions keep HF polar paths closer to normal.

Keep polar routes on watch and re-check if Bz turns south.

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How far north is enough?

The auroral oval usually sits well north of mid-latitudes during quiet conditions. A stronger Kp expands that oval southward. For Riga, the practical storm threshold is about Kp 4, but a long southward Bz interval matters almost as much as the raw Kp number.

If you are below about 50° latitude, treat Kp 5 as the first serious threshold. Above 60° latitude, even Kp 2-3 can be enough under dark skies.